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Rachaad White headshot
Position: Running backH Tier

Rachaad White

RB · WAS · Bye 7

Age 276'0"214 lbs4 yr
FFT9974

Elite Profile

Calibrated public rating

RAW 58 · 96% cov

Projection

8.1

Half-PPR / game

Market ADP

112.0

Consensus overall

FFT fair value

115.0

Calibrated pick

Draft delta

-3.0

Market minus FFT

Draft recommendation

Market is aggressive

Risk / reliability

Low Risk

84
Risk: Low

Reliability

84 / 99

Coverage

80%

Live board

Today's Read

NO MARKET DATA

Scored 4 TDs on 25 red-zone opportunities — opportunity implies about 6.34. Finishing that far below expectation tends to regress upward, and the market is still pricing the 4.

Model rank

Market

Confidence

low

Full analysis

2026 week 2

Weekly Outlook

FFT · BDL · SLEEPER · MARKETS

Our projection

7.3

Weighted weekly consensus

BDL projection

6.5

BALLDONTLIE weekly

Sleeper projection

7.4

Sleeper weekly

Game status

Not reported

No injury description reported

Latest practice

Not reported

Game-day active

Active

Started

Pending

Participation

Pending

Game market

Total · Spread

Implied team total · cross-book median

Live draft market

ADP 139.4 · Rostered 65.4%

BDL change -0.2%

BALLDONTLIE data checked 9/20/2026, 5:46:45 PM ET. Sportsbook values are consensus context, not betting advice.

Measured 2026 · Regular season

Season Production

Loading 2026 results…

Actual BALLDONTLIE box scores · FFT-computed fantasy points · Preseason excluded. Missing stats are not zeroes.

2026 / Player Game Center

Every play has a story.

Rachaad White · Recorded performance, game context, fantasy takeaways.

Loading game data…

Measured game log

Weekly Performance

Actual BALLDONTLIE box scores · FFT-computed fantasy points. Missing weeks are never filled with zeroes.

No 2026 regular-season stat line recorded for Rachaad White yet.

This view will populate automatically when measured games enter the data spine.

FFT Newsroom

Latest news for Rachaad White

All reports

Position-relative

FFT99 Pillar Scores

Methodology

Opportunity / Workload

75

Strong

75

Top 17% at RB

Talent / Efficiency

47

Watch

47

Top 53% at RB

Offensive Environment

48

Watch

48

Top 64% at RB

OL / Run Environment

58

Average

58

Top 47% at RB

QB / Game-Script Fit

36

Watch

36

Top 92% at RB

Fantasy Playoff Schedule

24

Watch

24

Top 98% at RB

Player Profile

Opportunity / Workload75
Talent / Efficiency47
Offensive Environment48
OL / Run Environment58
QB / Game-Script Fit36
Fantasy Playoff Schedule24

Games

17

Half-PPR

103

Total TD

4

Model Component Contributions

The measured inputs doing the most work inside this grade.

Rush Share
9%
Targets Per Game
9%
Vegas
7%
Snap
6%
Inside Ten
6%
Run Tendency
6%
Route
4%
Rz Carries
4%

Draft Economics

Value Over Replacement

-20.8

proj. half-PPR pts

Rank Delta

+0

position spots vs ADP

Value Grade

B

Fair Value

reachfair valuesteal

Market

112.0

FFT value

115.0

Board Δ

-3.0

Playoff Schedule

Week 15

vs ATL

Rank 16th

Great

Week 16

@ MIN

Rank 24th

Neutral

Week 17

@ JAX

Rank 31st

Tough

FFT99 vs ADP

Every dot is a real position peer with a market price.

Rachaad WhiteCONSENSUS ADP →FFT99 →

Deep research dossier

Evidence, history and model transparency

The decision dashboard ends above. Open only the research sections you need below—the full evidence remains available without overwhelming the player overview.

The call record

Claims written down before the season, sealed at registration, and graded in public — misses kept.

No pre-registered call was made on Rachaad White. The record holds 29 calls in total, selected from the board by signal strength and divergence — most players do not clear that bar, and silence here means we did not stake a claim on him, not that he graded badly.

2025 production

What he actually did last season. Measured, not projected.

Games

17

PPR pts

143.0

Half-PPR pts

103.0

PPR / game

8.4

Receiving

Targets

45

Receptions

40

Rec yards

218

Rec TDs

0

Target share

8.3%

Air yards share

-2.3%

WOPR

0.11

Rushing

Carries

132

Rush yards

572

Rush TDs

4

Yards / carry

4.33

Passing

Pass yards

0

Pass TDs

0

Interceptions

0

nflverse season totals for 2025, joined on normalised name and position (gsis 00-0037256). These are actuals — nothing here is modelled.

What the market says

Every ADP source we hold, side by side, and where our model sits against them.

Consensus ADP

112.0

Median

119.0

Sources ranking him

3/4

Agreement

Medium

SourceRank / ADP
Yahoo ADP121.0
Sleeper ADP119.0
RTSports ADP96.0
Fantasy Football Calculator ADP (live)unranked

The sources that ranked him disagree by 25.0 picks between highest and lowest (standard deviation 11.3).

Mean and median are computed across the sources that actually ranked him — an unranked source never enters the average, because a sentinel treated as a pick number would drag a real player hundreds of slots. Spread, deviation and agreement are null under two ranked sources rather than 0, since one source cannot agree with itself. The FFT model rank is our own output and is never folded in as if it were an outside source.

Week-to-week, 2025

Consistency and range — the part a season total hides.

Weeks with a line

17

PPR / game

8.4

Std dev

5.3

Coeff. of variation

0.63

Boom rate

6% (1/17)

Bust rate

47% (8/17)

Best week

23.1 wk 5

Worst week

2.4 wk 3

Recent form — last 4 games with a line

5.3 PPR per game over weeks 15, 16, 17, 18-3.1 against his season average.

Every week (17 lines)
WkOppPPRTgtRecYdsCarRuYdTDRZ
1ATL2.611221400
2HOU14.6221106512
3NYJ2.411251201
4PHI8.6542961701
5SEA23.14430144125
6SF17.63321176514
7DET8.4646103801
8NO8.12226133503
10NE10.45516103801
11BUF8.23211105102
12LA5.211473801
13ARI5.933222701
14NO6.5212115302
15ATL3.611612000
16CAR8.0221554503
17MIA3.722721001
18CAR6.1221872300

The weekly LINES are measured: 2025 game logs, joined on gsis id 00-0037256. Everything derived from them above — per-game, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, boom and bust rates, recent form — is computed by us and carries the FFT model (beta) label. It is not an observed stat.

This whole block is on the PPR scale, including the thresholds — the artifact publishes boom and bust in PPR (RB: boom ≥ 20, bust ≤ 8) and converting only the points would leave the rates measured against a different ruler than the one they were defined on. The hero above is half-PPR because that is what the model ranks on. Two rulers, each labelled, rather than one silently mixed. Rates need at least 4 games to carry weight; recent form is the last 4.

Advanced usage & efficiency

Route concepts, red-zone opportunity, and separation-adjusted catch rate.

Red-zone opportunity

Scoring upside

RZ targets

10

RZ carries

19

RZ TDs

4

aDOT

Concept EPA / target

-0.040

Classified targets

45

Catch residual

YAC over expected

Most-run concept: SCREEN on 75.6% of his classified targets.

Every field is derived by FFT from openly-licensed nflverse play-by-play, or taken from the free public NFL Next Gen Stats endpoint. No licensed trial data (Sportradar, BALLDONTLIE) is included, which is why this file can be committed and shipped with the build. Red zone: Plays snapped inside the opponent 20-yard line. Red-zone usage measures opportunity; this repo’s own backtest shows it adds little on top of plain volume, so it is retained as context and is deliberately not described as an edge.

How the model gets there

The component projection behind the headline number, and what it was built from.

Projected games

14.4

Half-PPR (season)

117.2

PPR (season)

131.8

Confidence

medium

Proj targets

36.4

Proj receptions

29.1

Proj rec yards

210

Proj rec TDs

1.5

Proj carries

116.0

Proj rush yards

505

Proj rush TDs

3.9

Proj pass yards

0

Proj pass TDs

0.0

Proj INTs

0.0

Touchdown regression

He actually scored 4 touchdowns last season. Against his measured opportunity the model expects a change of 1.4. The gap between what a player scored and what his opportunity implies is one of the four signals the edge engine reads.

What this projection was built from

17 g in 2025, 7.8 car/g, 2.6 tgt/g, 51% snaps (regressed to the role, not the position), RB2 on depth chart, age 28, new team WAS

fft-projection-2.3.0-beta. The model reads measured production, opportunity and age, and reads no ADP field at any stage — so it can disagree with the market, which is the only reason a disagreement is worth anything. Draft capital was not resolved for this player, which the model treats as unknown rather than as undrafted.

What this page is standing on

Which sources answered for this player, and which did not.

  • Identity join: Resolved to gsis 00-0037256 via the 2025 nflverse season file. The weekly log and advanced splits are keyed on that id.
  • Market ADP: A bundled snapshot of platform ADP, not a live feed. Shown for comparison and never read by the projection model.
  • Headshot: Resolved from exact-name.
  • Vitals: Height, weight, college and jersey are read from nflverse and keyed on gsis id 00-0037256 — not on name. Name keying matches players to relatives who share one: "Marvin Harrison Jr." also matches his father's 1996 row, and whichever came first in the file would win.
  • Not shown: draft round and pick. The bundled player file carries them on roughly 48% of rows and populates them late, so a blank is equally consistent with a genuine undrafted free agent and with a first-rounder nobody has ingested yet. The model’s own three-state read is used instead, above.

Model run caveats

  • No usable red-zone RECEIVING fit for QB — receiving touchdowns at that position come from the shrunk per-target rate alone.
  • Rookie draft capital on this run: 82 drafted (projected from round/pick), 141 confirmed undrafted, 177 with capital UNKNOWN.
  • 177 of 400 rookie projections (44%) have NO KNOWN DRAFT CAPITAL because this draft class has not been ingested by any source the model can read. For those players the draft-capital path did not run: a first-round pick and a camp arm receive the same number, separated only by depth-chart order. Those projections are flagged `isPositionalFloor` and must be read as a floor for the role, not as a valuation of the player.

How the model works

Inputs, method, and the forbidden-inputs list. It reads no ADP at any stage.

Where it loses

Pre-registered calls, graded in public, misses kept on the page.

Model Rankings

Every player, with the model's BUY / FADE call against consensus ADP built into the board.