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Emmett Johnson headshot
Position: Running backL Tier

Emmett Johnson

RB · KC · Bye 5

FFT9964

Elite Profile

Calibrated public rating

RAW 52 · 55% cov

Projection

3.8

Half-PPR / game

Market ADP

180.7

Consensus overall

FFT fair value

189.7

Calibrated pick

Draft delta

-9.0

Market minus FFT

Draft recommendation

Market is aggressive

Risk / reliability

Medium Risk

63
Risk: Medium

Reliability

63 / 99

Coverage

40%

Live board

Today's Read

NO CALL

Emmett Johnson is not currently in the scored edge pool.

Full analysis

2026 week 2

Weekly Outlook

FFT · BDL · SLEEPER · MARKETS

Our projection

4.3

Weighted weekly consensus

BDL projection

5.8

BALLDONTLIE weekly

Sleeper projection

2.9

Sleeper weekly

Game status

Not reported

No injury description reported

Latest practice

Not reported

Game-day active

Not known

Started

Pending

Participation

Pending

Game market

Total 46.0 · Spread -6.0

Implied team total 26.0 · cross-book median

Live draft market

ADP 169.1 · Rostered 15.7%

BDL change +0.1%

rushing yards 17.5 (3 books)receiving yards 8 (2 books)rushing receiving yards 29 (2 books)

BALLDONTLIE data checked 9/20/2026, 6:37:47 PM ET. Sportsbook values are consensus context, not betting advice.

Measured 2026 · Regular season

Season Production

Loading 2026 results…

Actual BALLDONTLIE box scores · FFT-computed fantasy points · Preseason excluded. Missing stats are not zeroes.

2026 / Player Game Center

Every play has a story.

Emmett Johnson · Recorded performance, game context, fantasy takeaways.

Loading game data…

Measured game log

Weekly Performance

Actual BALLDONTLIE box scores · FFT-computed fantasy points. Missing weeks are never filled with zeroes.

No 2026 regular-season stat line recorded for Emmett Johnson yet.

This view will populate automatically when measured games enter the data spine.

FFT Newsroom

Latest news for Emmett Johnson

All reports

Position-relative

FFT99 Pillar Scores

Methodology

Opportunity / Workload

49

Watch

49

Top 43% at RB

Talent / Efficiency

No grade

0% coverage

Offensive Environment

65

Average

65

Top 35% at RB

OL / Run Environment

42

Watch

42

Top 70% at RB

QB / Game-Script Fit

60

Average

60

Top 41% at RB

Fantasy Playoff Schedule

32

Watch

32

Top 94% at RB

Player Profile

Opportunity / Workload49
Talent / Efficiency
Offensive Environment65
OL / Run Environment42
QB / Game-Script Fit60
Fantasy Playoff Schedule32

Games

Half-PPR

Total TD

Model Component Contributions

The measured inputs doing the most work inside this grade.

Rush Share
16%
Targets Per Game
16%
Vegas
12%
Run Tendency
10%
Security
6%
Rb Target
6%
Rz Rush
6%
Run Blocking Quality
5%

Draft Economics

Value Over Replacement

-96.2

proj. half-PPR pts

Rank Delta

-31

position spots vs ADP

Value Grade

D

Reach

reachfair valuesteal

Market

180.7

FFT value

189.7

Board Δ

-9.0

Playoff Schedule

Week 15

vs NE

Rank 28th

Tough

Week 16

vs SF

Rank 10th

Great

Week 17

@ LAC

Rank 29th

Tough

FFT99 vs ADP

Every dot is a real position peer with a market price.

Emmett JohnsonCONSENSUS ADP →FFT99 →

Deep research dossier

Evidence, history and model transparency

The decision dashboard ends above. Open only the research sections you need below—the full evidence remains available without overwhelming the player overview.

The call record

Claims written down before the season, sealed at registration, and graded in public — misses kept.

No pre-registered call was made on Emmett Johnson. The record holds 29 calls in total, selected from the board by signal strength and divergence — most players do not clear that bar, and silence here means we did not stake a claim on him, not that he graded badly.

2025 production

What he actually did last season. Measured, not projected.

No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.

What the market says

Every ADP source we hold, side by side, and where our model sits against them.

Consensus ADP

180.7

Median

179.0

Sources ranking him

3/4

Agreement

Medium

SourceRank / ADP
Yahoo ADP179.0
Sleeper ADP170.0
RTSports ADP193.0
Fantasy Football Calculator ADP (live)unranked

The sources that ranked him disagree by 23.0 picks between highest and lowest (standard deviation 9.5).

Mean and median are computed across the sources that actually ranked him — an unranked source never enters the average, because a sentinel treated as a pick number would drag a real player hundreds of slots. Spread, deviation and agreement are null under two ranked sources rather than 0, since one source cannot agree with itself. The FFT model rank is our own output and is never folded in as if it were an outside source.

Week-to-week, 2025

Consistency and range — the part a season total hides.

No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.

Advanced usage & efficiency

Route concepts, red-zone opportunity, and separation-adjusted catch rate.

No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.

How the model gets there

The component projection behind the headline number, and what it was built from.

Projected games

10.9

Half-PPR (season)

41.8

PPR (season)

45.9

Confidence

low

Proj targets

10.5

Proj receptions

8.2

Proj rec yards

61

Proj rec TDs

0.4

Proj carries

46.8

Proj rush yards

204

Proj rush TDs

1.5

Proj pass yards

0

Proj pass TDs

0.0

Proj INTs

0.0

What this projection was built from

rookie (pick 161, round 5 inferred), RB draft-capital baseline, 10.9 g projected, RB2 on depth chart, no 2025 NFL sample, no red-zone data

fft-projection-2.3.0-beta. The model reads measured production, opportunity and age, and reads no ADP field at any stage — so it can disagree with the market, which is the only reason a disagreement is worth anything. Draft capital: drafted. No red-zone data fed this projection.

What this page is standing on

Which sources answered for this player, and which did not.

  • Identity join: No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.
  • Market ADP: A bundled snapshot of platform ADP, not a live feed. Shown for comparison and never read by the projection model.
  • Headshot: Resolved from exact-name.
  • Vitals: No nflverse player row resolved for this gsis id, so no vitals are shown. Nothing is guessed from the name.
  • Not shown: draft round and pick. The bundled player file carries them on roughly 48% of rows and populates them late, so a blank is equally consistent with a genuine undrafted free agent and with a first-rounder nobody has ingested yet. The model’s own three-state read is used instead, above.

Model run caveats

  • No usable red-zone RECEIVING fit for QB — receiving touchdowns at that position come from the shrunk per-target rate alone.
  • Rookie draft capital on this run: 82 drafted (projected from round/pick), 141 confirmed undrafted, 177 with capital UNKNOWN.
  • 177 of 400 rookie projections (44%) have NO KNOWN DRAFT CAPITAL because this draft class has not been ingested by any source the model can read. For those players the draft-capital path did not run: a first-round pick and a camp arm receive the same number, separated only by depth-chart order. Those projections are flagged `isPositionalFloor` and must be read as a floor for the role, not as a valuation of the player.

How the model works

Inputs, method, and the forbidden-inputs list. It reads no ADP at any stage.

Where it loses

Pre-registered calls, graded in public, misses kept on the page.

Model Rankings

Every player, with the model's BUY / FADE call against consensus ADP built into the board.

Several blocks above are empty for this player because no 2025 statistical row resolved. That is a gap in what we hold, not a verdict on him.