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Brenen Thompson headshot
Position: Wide receiverFFT99

Brenen Thompson

WR · LAC · Bye 7

FFT9954

Elite Profile

Calibrated public rating

RAW 54 · 58% cov

Projection

2.5

Half-PPR / game

Market ADP

287.0

Consensus overall

FFT fair value

—

Calibrated pick

Draft delta

—

Market minus FFT

Draft recommendation

Fairly priced

Risk / reliability

High Risk

34
Risk: High

Reliability

34 / 99

Coverage

40%

Live board

Today's Read

NO CALL

Brenen Thompson is not currently in the scored edge pool.

Full analysis

2026 week 1

Weekly Outlook

FFT · BDL · SLEEPER · MARKETS

The BALLDONTLIE weekly outlook is unavailable for this player right now. The rest of the profile remains live.

Measured 2026 · Regular season

Season Production

Loading 2026 results…

Actual BALLDONTLIE box scores · FFT-computed fantasy points · Preseason excluded. Missing stats are not zeroes.

2026 / Player Game Center

Every play has a story.

Brenen Thompson · Recorded performance, game context, fantasy takeaways.

Loading game data…

Measured game log

Weekly Performance

Actual BALLDONTLIE box scores · FFT-computed fantasy points. Missing weeks are never filled with zeroes.

No 2026 regular-season stat line recorded for Brenen Thompson yet.

This view will populate automatically when measured games enter the data spine.

FFT Newsroom

Latest news for Brenen Thompson

All reports

Position-relative

FFT99 Pillar Scores

Methodology

Opportunity

54

Watch

54

Top 39% at WR

Talent

—

No grade

—

0% coverage

Offensive Environment

67

Average

67

Top 26% at WR

QB Play

53

Watch

53

Top 49% at WR

Fantasy Playoff Schedule

42

Watch

42

Top 58% at WR

Player Profile

Opportunity54
Talent—
Offensive Environment67
QB Play53
Fantasy Playoff Schedule42

Games

—

Half-PPR

—

Total TD

—

Model Component Contributions

The measured inputs doing the most work inside this grade.

Target Share
20%
Targets Per Game
13%
Vegas
13%
Play Caller
11%
Efficiency
9%
OL Pass Protection
6%
Accuracy
6%
Volume
6%

Draft Economics

Value Over Replacement

-93.8

proj. half-PPR pts

Rank Delta

-91

position spots vs ADP

Value Grade

D

Reach

reachfair valuesteal

Market

287.0

FFT value

—

Board Δ

—

Playoff Schedule

Week 15

vs SF

Rank 12th

Great

Week 16

@ MIA

Rank 19th

Neutral

Week 17

vs KC

Rank 23rd

Neutral

FFT99 vs ADP

Every dot is a real position peer with a market price.

Brenen ThompsonCONSENSUS ADP →FFT99 →

Deep research dossier

Evidence, history and model transparency

The decision dashboard ends above. Open only the research sections you need below—the full evidence remains available without overwhelming the player overview.

The call record

Claims written down before the season, sealed at registration, and graded in public — misses kept.

No pre-registered call was made on Brenen Thompson. The record holds 29 calls in total, selected from the board by signal strength and divergence — most players do not clear that bar, and silence here means we did not stake a claim on him, not that he graded badly.

2025 production

What he actually did last season. Measured, not projected.

No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.

What the market says

Every ADP source we hold, side by side, and where our model sits against them.

Consensus ADP

287.0

Median

287.0

Sources ranking him

1/3

Agreement

—

SourceRank / ADP
Yahoo ADPunranked
Sleeper ADPunranked
RTSports ADP287.0

Mean and median are computed across the sources that actually ranked him — an unranked source never enters the average, because a sentinel treated as a pick number would drag a real player hundreds of slots. Spread, deviation and agreement are null under two ranked sources rather than 0, since one source cannot agree with itself. The FFT model rank is our own output and is never folded in as if it were an outside source.

Week-to-week, 2025

Consistency and range — the part a season total hides.

No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.

Advanced usage & efficiency

Route concepts, red-zone opportunity, and separation-adjusted catch rate.

No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.

How the model gets there

The component projection behind the headline number, and what it was built from.

Projected games

10.6

Half-PPR (season)

26.9

PPR (season)

32.7

Confidence

low

Proj targets

18.3

Proj receptions

11.4

Proj rec yards

145

Proj rec TDs

0.9

Proj carries

1.9

Proj rush yards

10

Proj rush TDs

0.1

Proj pass yards

0

Proj pass TDs

0.0

Proj INTs

0.0

What this projection was built from

rookie (pick 105, round 4 inferred), WR draft-capital baseline, 10.6 g projected, WR10 on depth chart, no 2025 NFL sample, no red-zone data

fft-projection-2.3.0-beta. The model reads measured production, opportunity and age, and reads no ADP field at any stage — so it can disagree with the market, which is the only reason a disagreement is worth anything. Draft capital: drafted. No red-zone data fed this projection.

What this page is standing on

Which sources answered for this player, and which did not.

  • Identity join: No 2025 nflverse row matched this player, so no gsis id could be resolved. The weekly log and the advanced splits are both gsis-keyed, so they are unavailable for him. This is a join gap, not a statement about the player.
  • Market ADP: A bundled snapshot of platform ADP, not a live feed. Shown for comparison and never read by the projection model.
  • Headshot: Resolved from exact-name.
  • Vitals: No nflverse player row resolved for this gsis id, so no vitals are shown. Nothing is guessed from the name.
  • Not shown: draft round and pick. The bundled player file carries them on roughly 48% of rows and populates them late, so a blank is equally consistent with a genuine undrafted free agent and with a first-rounder nobody has ingested yet. The model’s own three-state read is used instead, above.

Model run caveats

  • No usable red-zone RECEIVING fit for QB — receiving touchdowns at that position come from the shrunk per-target rate alone.
  • Rookie draft capital on this run: 82 drafted (projected from round/pick), 145 confirmed undrafted, 172 with capital UNKNOWN.
  • 172 of 399 rookie projections (43%) have NO KNOWN DRAFT CAPITAL because this draft class has not been ingested by any source the model can read. For those players the draft-capital path did not run: a first-round pick and a camp arm receive the same number, separated only by depth-chart order. Those projections are flagged `isPositionalFloor` and must be read as a floor for the role, not as a valuation of the player.

How the model works

Inputs, method, and the forbidden-inputs list. It reads no ADP at any stage.

Where it loses

Pre-registered calls, graded in public, misses kept on the page.

Model Rankings

Every player, with the model's BUY / FADE call against consensus ADP built into the board.

Several blocks above are empty for this player because no 2025 statistical row resolved. That is a gap in what we hold, not a verdict on him.